Other assumptions can produce other results. Then you will be able to mark statistics as favourites and use personal statistics alerts. The population of 31 countries or areas, including Ukraine, Romania, Japan and most of the successor states of the Soviet Union, is expected to be lower in 2050 than in 2005. Overview and forecasts on trending topics, Key figures and rankings about brands and companies, Consumer insights and preferences in various industries, Detailed information about political and social topics, All key figures about regions and countries, Everything you need to know about Consumer Goods, Identify market potentials of the digital future, Technology Market Outlook ) [2], Fertility is expressed as the total fertility rate (TFR), a measure of the number of children on average that a woman will bear in her lifetime. and p Population Pyramids: Brazil - 2100. In, Statista. Update, Insights into the world's most important technology markets, Advertising & Media Outlook Business and leisure travel is … Facebook: number of monthly active users worldwide 2008-2020, Instagram accounts with the most followers worldwide 2020, Number of apps available in leading app stores 2020, Most popular global mobile messaging apps 2020, Twitter: number of monthly active users 2010-2019, Internet usage in India - statistics & facts, Research expert covering internet and e-commerce, Profit from additional features with an Employee Account. [3], Based on this, the UN Population Division expects world population, currently (2020) at 7.8 billion, to level out at or soon after the end of the 21st Century at 10.9 billion (the median line),[4][5] assuming a continuing decrease in the global average fertility rate from 2.5 births per woman during the 2015–2020 period to 1.9 in 2095–2100, according to the medium-variant projection. Current (2020) world population is 7.8 billion. Less than 20 percent of the world’s population has set foot on an airplane, but that’s changing dramatically. Some of the authors of the 2004 UN report assumed that life expectancy would rise slowly and continuously. By 2025, nearly half of all households are projected to have the means to travel. 100 y p See also the number of migrants for this country. [32], The following 101 metropolitan areas with the largest population projections for the years 2025, 2050, 2075, and 2100 are listed below. In 1951, the growth rate was 3.02% and in 2019 it was 0.72%. Formulas used to calculate demographic growth, Estimates between the years 1950 and 1980 (in thousands), Estimates between the years 1985 and 2015 (in thousands), Estimates between the years 2020 and 2050 (in thousands), List of countries by past and future population, traditional English name for (the Union of) Myanmar, Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha, United States Census Bureau - International Data Base (IDB), 1971, 1980, 1990 and 2000 Indonesian censuses, Central Statistics Division - Government of Tuvalu - Census of Population and Housing and sample Surveys, The United Nations Division of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, Current real density based on food growing capacity, Antiviral medications for pandemic influenza, Percentage suffering from undernourishment, Health expenditure by country by type of financing, Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies, Progress in International Reading Literacy Study, Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study, List of top international rankings by country, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=List_of_countries_by_past_and_projected_future_population&oldid=983005282, Short description is different from Wikidata, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 11 October 2020, at 17:49. where July 14, 2020. f By 2100, the report assumed life expectancy to be from 66 to 97 years, and by 2300 from 87 to 106 years, depending on the country. Currently, 757 million humans live in the 101 largest cities;[32] these cities are home to 11% of the world's population. The 2019 forecast from the United Nation's Population Division shows that world population growth peaked at 2.1% per year in 1962, has since dropped to 1.0%, and could drop even further to 0.1% by 2100, a growth rate not seen since pre-industrial revolution day [26], Large urban areas are hubs of economic development and innovation, with larger cities underpinning regional economies and local and global sustainability initiatives. ( Population Control: Real Costs, Illusory Benefits, Population and housing censuses by country, International Conference on Population and Development, Human activities with impact on the environment, Current real density based on food growing capacity, Antiviral medications for pandemic influenza, Percentage suffering from undernourishment, Health expenditure by country by type of financing, Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies, Progress in International Reading Literacy Study, Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study, List of top international rankings by country, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Projections_of_population_growth&oldid=988358621, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, A report in 2020 from researchers funded by the, This page was last edited on 12 November 2020, at 18:04. However, smaller states, such as Tuvalu, can have large relative discrepancies. [31], The UN Population Division has calculated the future population of the world's countries, based on current demographic trends. The BRIC countries contain 40 percent of the world’s population and account for around one-fifth of the global GDP. p A 2014 paper by demographers from several universities and the United Nations Population Division forecast that the world's population would reach about 10.9 billion in 2100 and continue growing thereafter. (billed annually). In 1951, the growth rate was 3.02% and in 2019 it was 0.72%. By 2025 its population is projected to be 357 million and 439 million by 2050. One in eight households will actually travel abroad. [15][16][17], Evolutionary biology also suggests the demographic transition may reverse itself and global population may continue to grow in the long term. Something similar can be said about China, whose population is still growing at an absolute rate of some 10 million per year, despite its government's efforts to stabilize it through its one child per couple policy. {\displaystyle y_{i}} World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision. They are compound growth rates, and have the general form: Sources - What is a population pyramid? {\displaystyle p_{f}} After reaching this maximum, it would decline slightly and then resume a slow increase, reaching a level of 8.97 billion by 2300, about the same as the projected 2050 figure. Statista. The population of a country or area grows or declines through the interaction of three demographic drivers: fertility, mortality, and migration. Register in seconds and access exclusive features. p As the IDB states, "figures beyond the years 2020-2025 should be taken with caution", as the "census way towards those years has yet to be paved". After reaching its population peak in 2045, Brazil’s population is expected to decrease slowly, starting at a growth rate … (July 14, 2020). Although data from specific statistical offices may be more accurate, the information provided here has the advantage of being homogeneous. Please create an employee account to be able to mark statistics as favorites. [26], Walter Greiling projected in the 1950s that world population would reach a peak of about nine billion, in the 21st century, and then stop growing after a readjustment of the Third World and a sanitation of the tropics. Accessed November 13, 2020. https://www.statista.com/forecasts/292757/brazil-internet-user-penetration, Statista. × As the IDB states, "figures beyond the years 2020-2025 should be taken with caution", as the "census way … The median scenario of the UN 2019 World Population Prospects[8] predicts the following populations per region in 2050 (compared to population in 2000), in billions: Projections of population reaching more than one generation into the future are highly speculative: Thus, the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs report of 2004 projected the world population to peak at 9.22 billion in 2075 and then stabilise at a value close to 9 billion;[11] Emerging markets are taking the lead–representing two of the top five countries. {\displaystyle \left({\sqrt[{5}]{\frac {p_{f}}{p_{i}}}}-1\right)\times 100} Between now (2020) and 2100, regions with TFR currently below this rate, e.g. [6], Where fertility is high, demographers generally assume that fertility will decline and eventually stabilize at about two children per woman. 4: Population predictions of the 101 largest cities in the 21st century . In the calculations shown here, all the periods are of five years, and so yi + 5 = yf, so the formula simplifies to However, no projected population figures can be considered exact.

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